Description

This analysis provides a forecast of IMX10603 prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2026-01-11 0.224946 0.245104 0.266582 0.291224 0.318785 0.348737 0.383857
2026-01-18 0.187271 0.215135 0.246868 0.285925 0.333033 0.388436 0.459147
2026-01-25 0.161493 0.192409 0.229293 0.277025 0.337869 0.413810 0.517326
2026-02-01 0.144349 0.176926 0.217236 0.271533 0.343935 0.438877 0.575754
2026-02-08 0.130449 0.163600 0.205858 0.264697 0.346182 0.457648 0.626405
2026-02-15 0.119872 0.153348 0.197135 0.259912 0.349837 0.477648 0.680094
2026-02-22 0.113949 0.148586 0.195046 0.263589 0.365126 0.515126 0.763994
2026-03-01 0.107113 0.141953 0.189692 0.261880 0.371986 0.540277 0.831354
2026-03-08 0.100516 0.135120 0.183437 0.258120 0.375066 0.559444 0.890858
2026-03-15 0.093970 0.127892 0.176041 0.251914 0.373529 0.570679 0.937684
2026-03-22 0.091721 0.126664 0.177238 0.258790 0.393235 0.618712 1.057055
2026-03-29 0.089171 0.124793 0.177279 0.263738 0.410071 0.663496 1.177160
2026-04-05 0.085571 0.121250 0.174705 0.264551 0.420469 0.698981 1.287019
2026-04-12 0.080615 0.115389 0.168205 0.258460 0.418381 0.711566 1.352494
2026-04-19 0.075646 0.109237 0.160868 0.250395 0.411978 0.715177 1.399216
2026-04-26 0.071775 0.104587 0.155644 0.245519 0.410872 0.728804 1.470501
2026-05-03 0.067972 0.099849 0.149999 0.239485 0.407013 0.736399 1.529025
2026-05-10 0.064816 0.095986 0.145568 0.235262 0.406171 0.749979 1.604339
2026-05-17 0.063316 0.094709 0.145337 0.238506 0.420039 0.795998 1.769828
2026-05-24 0.061040 0.092049 0.142620 0.236998 0.424292 0.821687 1.887728
2026-05-31 0.058594 0.088995 0.139066 0.233679 0.424544 0.838443 1.984796
2026-06-07 0.055934 0.085470 0.134523 0.228198 0.419836 0.843284 2.049151
2026-06-14 0.055362 0.085416 0.136004 0.234270 0.439927 0.908545 2.306155